BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Avoca AHST

Class: 2A Class Rank: 68 Conference: (14-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   55.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    W    55.86  59   52   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM               0.27      6.73                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    W    54.85  70   36   1A  139 ( 3-11) Clarinda Academy       -0.73 *   34.73                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  50.49  56   30   2A  128 ( 2-19) Underwood              -5.10 *   31.10                      
  4 12/13/2003 Away    L *  52.06  42   49   1A   33 (17- 6) Treynor                -3.53     -3.47                      
  5 12/16/2003 Home    W *  50.38  59   47   2A  114 ( 6-13) Neola Tri-Center       -5.21     17.21                      
  6 12/19/2003 Away    L *  39.13  55   69   2A   80 (13- 9) Audubon               -16.45      2.45                      
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  53.09  74   60   2A  110 ( 7-14) Missouri Valley        -2.49     16.49                      
  8 01/09/2004 Home    W *  48.94  49   43   2A  101 ( 6-14) Oakland Riverside      -6.65     12.65                      
  9 01/13/2004 Away    L *  34.27  38   66   2A   46 (18- 5) Griswold              -21.31     -6.69                      
 10 01/16/2004 Home    W *  67.14  56   44   1A   33 (17- 6) Treynor                11.55      0.45                      
 11 01/20/2004 Home    W *  43.94  50   49   2A  101 ( 6-14) Oakland Riverside     -11.65     12.65                      
 12 01/22/2004 Neutral W *  73.10  57   41   1A   33 (17- 6) Treynor                17.51     -1.51                      
 13 01/24/2004 Neutral L *  58.31  57   59   2A   46 (18- 5) Griswold                2.73     -4.73                      
 14 01/30/2004 Away    W *  85.30  75   32   2A  114 ( 6-13) Neola Tri-Center       29.71     13.29                      
 15 01/31/2004 Away    W *  46.41  54   36   2A  128 ( 2-19) Underwood              -9.18 *   27.18  rescheduled from 01/27/04
 16 02/09/2004 Away    W *  50.01  51   44   2A  110 ( 7-14) Missouri Valley        -5.57     12.57  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 17 02/10/2004 Away    W *  49.86  38   35   2A  101 ( 6-14) Oakland Riverside      -5.73      8.73                      
 18 02/12/2004 Home    W *  78.21  72   43   2A   80 (13- 9) Audubon                22.63      6.37  rescheduled from 02/03/04 and 02/12/04
 19 02/13/2004 Home    W *  59.35  63   62   2A   46 (18- 5) Griswold                3.77     -2.77                      
 20 02/17/2004 Home    W    51.71  74   57   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -3.87     20.87                      
 21 02/19/2004 Away    W    46.01  56   49   1A   99 (11-10) Nishna Valley          -9.57     16.57                      
 22 02/23/2004 Neutral W    67.27  83   42   2A  129 ( 1-19) Onawa West Monona      11.69 *   29.31                      
 23 02/26/2004 Away    W *  61.01  70   52   2A  110 ( 7-14) Missouri Valley         5.43     12.57                      
 24 03/02/2004 Neutral L    57.34  48   53   2A   42 (18- 5) Sloan Westwood          1.75     -6.75                      
      Averages              55.59  58.6 47.9

Best game:   85.30 = 43 point win over Neola Tri-Center
Worst game:  34.27 = 28 point loss to Griswold
Team stdev:  11.90